The Colorado House of Representatives also receives a Lean D rating from Cnalysis. Part 1: Alaska, Connecticut and New Hampshire.Where control of state legislatures is up for grabs It is likely that this pattern will hold and Colorado Democrats will lose seats in November, though not necessarily their majority. However, with Trump in the Oval Office in 2018, the Democrats gained their majority back. In 20, with Obama in the White House, Democrats lost seats in the state Senate, even losing their majority from 2014 to 2018.
The likelihood of Republican gains is buoyed by the Senate’s midterm trends, which mirror those of the nation.
Sabato’s points out that Republicans will face an uphill battle, particularly if extremely right wing candidates are on the ballot. It emphasizes that the Senate is the more likely chamber to flip, and cites redistricting changes as one reason why Republicans may make gains. Sabato’s Crystal Ball also rates the Senate Lean D. GOP candidates would need to win one district that leans in their favor, one toss-up, and two districts that lean Democratic to flip this legislative body. At the district level, only five of the 35 seats are competitive - 42 percent of districts are solidly Democrat, while 40 percent will almost certainly go to Republicans. The Colorado Senate is rated Lean D by Cnalysis. Still, Republicans have a chance to flip at least one state legislative chamber this fall. In fact, Democrats have had trifecta control for 10 of the last 20 years, while Republicans have not controlled all three branches since 2004. Currently, both these chambers are held by Democrats, as well as the governor’s seat. The Colorado General Assembly includes the 35-member State Senate and the 65-member House of Representatives. Ballotpedia data on election trends addresses the historic tendency for the president’s party to lose state legislative seats in the midterms, while Campaign Legal Center redistricting data explores possible advantages one party may have over the other.Ī Flourish data visualization by Reya Kumar Colorado Democrats are slightly more likely to maintain control of the Senate, while in the House of Representatives, Republicans may have a slight edge.įor this series, the Fulcrum utilized ratings from Cnalysis and Sabato’s Crystal Ball to identify the most competitive legislative bodies. Democrats also hold majorities in Maine, though they are much more tenuous. In both chambers in Colorado, Democrats currently have control and are likely to maintain it, though Republicans have a chance to flip. This final installment examines likely outcomes in Colorado and Maine, and what they mean for constituents and the country as a whole. That makes the 2022 midterm elections critical for anyone concerned about a myriad of issues, including reproductive rights and elections.
#Nh midterm election results 2018 series
This is the fourth in a four-part series examining possible outcomes of state legislative elections in 2022 and their potential impact on policy-making.Īs Congress has become mired in gridlock, passing few meaningful bills each year, state governments have become home to most consequential legislative activity.
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